2025 Actual Results
Year-to-date, of the 170 forecasts for 2025 – 50 issued during 2024 and the remainder from February onwards – 147 have been concluded, with 135 proving accurate and only 12 falling short.
Our actual outstanding hit ratio of 92% for 2025, at the begin of Q4, aligns with usual track record of achieving at least between 70-80%.
Download latest results for 2025 as PDF
NOTICE:
While our system currently demonstrates a hit ratio of 92% year-to-date, we are fully aware that this figure is unusually high. We attribute this partly to the system’s responsiveness to the present market volatility – and perhaps a measure of favourable conditions. The goal of every forecast is, of course, to be accurate, but we always expect a realistic performance range of 70–80% on average over the longer term. In more stable or less directional markets, hit ratios may naturally decrease.
We view the actual value as an exceptional but likely temporary peak – helpful for clients, but not a promise.