Approach
Effective forecasting, in our view, requires more than conventional market or technical analysis — it requires insight into the recurring patterns and behavioural dynamics that tend to precede market movements.
Our methodology is built on a framework of economic, psychological, and narrative cycles, developed and tested over time to identify conditions that tend to precede specific market outcomes.
We do not track prices directly; we assess the conditions that may or may not lead to a given outcome within a defined time horizon. Whether a level is reached early or late within that horizon does not affect how a forecast is scored — we assess the outcome, not the timing of its occurrence.
Forecasts are expressed in binary form:
Each forecast is a standalone research output describing a possible market outcome. They are published as research and are not directed at, or adapted to, any individual’s financial situation or objectives.