About

[±] i-XPM – Global Markets Forecasts is is a research group of independent analysts producing forward-looking market forecasts across Currencies, Commodities, Fixed Income, Equities, and Indices.

Our methodology was developed over a number of years through research, market observation, and prior exchange with members of financial institutions and private investors. Originally developed by our lead researcher within a now-disbanded team, it was first tested in that setting and has since been refined through continued independent work.

The methodology’s track record at that time showed an accuracy of 70% to 80%  or higher, and preserving — or where possible improving upon — this level has remained the underlying objective guiding our ongoing research.

Historical results across the periods analysed are published in full, alongside the underlying record, on our Papers & Subscription page.

Access to our current research — the list of ongoing forecasts and their results — is offered through an annual subscription. Subscribers may also submit a limited number of topics for the research team’s consideration; any resulting studies are added to the same shared list at the team’s discretion, for the benefit of all members, and are not prepared for or restricted to any individual subscriber’s use.

Our methodology is not designed to react to short-term market noise. It aims instead to identify underlying behavioural structures, economic signals, and narrative shifts that shape asset prices over time.

The name derives from the methodology’s core principle, expressed as X-Plus-Minus (XPM): determining whether a value “X”, will be reached either above (“Plus”) or below (“Minus”) its release value.

Now in its third iteration, the methodology was first developed as part of a larger forecasting team (Stage “a”, internally “Ja-Nein Fragen”), became independent in 2012 (Stage “e”, “TheForecastsBook”), and — following a period of suspension and reformulation — entered its current phase in 2022 (Stage “i”), giving the service its name.